What we're testing

Does January tell you how the stock market will do for the rest of the year?

Does holding the three asset classes that rose most over the year beat holding them all?

Do large tech stocks bounce back when they drop hard within an uptrend?

Does buying each year the five cheapest of the Dow's ten highest dividend payers beat the index?

Do companies that report earnings far above expectations keep rising for months?

Do large companies that are cheap relative to their book value return more in the long run?

Among cheap stocks, does keeping only those with improving financials separate winners from losers?

Does crypto momentum survive out-of-sample with a regime filter?

Does giving less weight to the most volatile coins and exiting the same day Bitcoin loses its trend make crypto momentum fall less?

Does following the BTC/ETH trend manage risk better than always being in?

Does diversifying across six asset classes beat the Tactical Defensive already running?

Does adding gold as a sixth asset improve the ratio, or just move the risk elsewhere?

Does adding an alternative source of return improve the Tactical Defensive, or is it the same portfolio under another name?

Does moving to cash when the market loses its trend cut the Core's drawdown without costing return?

Does rebalancing the Core every two months instead of monthly change the result?

Does the surprise in revenue anticipate the move better than the earnings surprise?

Does options skew carry usable directional information?

Is there still momentum in US large caps, or has it dried up as our verdict said?

Does a concentrated basket with loss control beat the index on a risk-adjusted basis?

How much extra return (and risk) does leveraging the validated Core add?