Research lab

What we're testing

We test hypotheses in the open. Most won't make it — and we publish the process, not just the winners. None of these are validated or recommendations.

14
tested
10
in testing
4
validated
Grid bot validator

Validate any Binance grid bot — honestly

We backtest the most-traded Spot Grid pairs on real history and show what Binance hides: the real drawdown, not a 7-day number.

Grid bot validator

Crypto momentum

Forward

Does crypto momentum survive out-of-sample with a regime filter?

94 days in forward · Paper · unvalidated · no guarantees

Crypto trend

Forward

Does following the BTC/ETH trend manage risk better than always being in?

94 days in forward · Paper · unvalidated · no guarantees

Multi-asset, 6 classes

Forward

Does diversifying across six asset classes beat the Tactical Defensive already running?

21 days in forward · Paper · unvalidated · no guarantees

Tactical Defensive + gold

Forward

Does adding gold as a sixth asset improve the ratio, or just move the risk elsewhere?

26 days in forward · Paper · unvalidated · no guarantees

Revenue surprise

Watchlist

Does the surprise in revenue anticipate the move better than the earnings surprise?

66 days in forward · Paper · unvalidated · no guarantees

Volatility skew

In evaluation

Does options skew carry usable directional information?

66 days in forward · Paper · unvalidated · no guarantees

Momentum + Core

Watchlist

Is there still momentum in US large caps, or has it dried up as our verdict said?

66 days in forward · Paper · unvalidated · no guarantees

Aggressive growth

High risk

Does a concentrated basket with loss control beat the index on a risk-adjusted basis?

66 days in forward · Paper · unvalidated · no guarantees

Leveraged core

High risk

How much extra return (and risk) does leveraging the validated Core add?

66 days in forward · Paper · unvalidated · no guarantees

This is research, not a product

Experiments are not validated and are not recommendations. They may be discontinued at any time. Educational content, not investment advice. Simulated/paper performance does not guarantee future results.

Want to see which one graduates?

We'll let you know when an experiment passes validation — or when we kill it.

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This page is the briefing: it is rebuilt every Sunday with the coming week. We don't email it and we don't ask for your address. If we ever do send it, you'll be able to ask for it here.